2025: Will Putin's approval in Russia increase?
10
1kṀ3017
Dec 31
30%
chance

If anything, support and trust in Russian President Vladimir Putin has increased since the war in Ukraine started at the end of February 2022.

According to the independent Levada Center polling agency, 81% of Russians surveyed in January 2022 said they approve of Putin’s actions as president. In January 2024 it was 85% and in December 2024 it was 87%

Will Putin's approval increase in 2025?
Meaning: will December 2025 survey indicate Putin's approval higher than on January 2025 (87%)?

PS In case of a tie, disapproval ranking will also be considered.


resolution: Levada Center, https://www.levada.ru/en/ratings/

  • Update 2025-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the December 2025 approval rating exactly matches the January 2025 rating (87%), the market will resolve NO, as approval failed to increase.

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tbh there are decent chances both approval and disapproval numbers will agree with January ones exactly. resolves NO, then, as approval failed to increase and disapproval failed to decrease?

@mxxun yes, in this case it will resolve NO

@itsTomekK Jan 2025 data:
(disapproved: 11%)

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