Will Austin Shaw (https://twitter.com/replicationer ) turn into a wizard? (virgin at 30 years old)
5
161Ṁ1582037
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
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Base rates from this report https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhsr/nhsr036.pdf pg 18 indicates 3.8% (sd 0.8%) for virgin among 25-29 year old males. It is from 2006-2008 data, so I'd correct upwards assuming a drop in sexual activity among the general populace - would guess 10% by 2037.
Which is to say, I'd buy more NO if not for capital constraints.