Which person in the world will have the most questions asked about them on manifold.markets by EOY 2023?

470Ṁ219

resolved Jan 2

ResolvedN/A

1.5%

Jose Luis Ricon (JLR)

1.5%

Joe Biden

59%

Donald Trump

1.5%

Peter Thiel

Claire Wang

Austin Chen

JIMMY CARTER

11%

Elon Musk

12%

Sam Altman

5%Other

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Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

47% chance

Will an Encyclopedia Dramatica article about manifold.markets be written by EOY 2030?

55% chance

Will this question get 100k traders before 2030?

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I can't be bothered to figure this out and no one else did either

@stochasticcockatoo Can you resolve? (if data is needed and available)

What data source / method are you going to use to confirm this?

A quick search seems to indicate that Trump has a commanding lead.

People are also trading

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

47% chance

Will an Encyclopedia Dramatica article about manifold.markets be written by EOY 2030?

55% chance

Will this question get 100k traders before 2030?

12% chance

People are also trading

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