Will I win my M$10^4 stake, https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/is-the-answer-to-the-sleeping-beaut
0
100resolved Feb 21
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
I recently bought my 10,000th NO share in the market linked in the title. It is my biggest stake in any market so far. Additionally, I presented multiple proofs of why the answer is NO.
Criteria:
If the Sleeping Beauty market resolves NO, this market resolves YES.
If the Sleeping Beauty market resolves to anything other than NO (e.g. YES, N/A, or any partial resolution), this market resolves NO.
Otherwise, this market stays open indefinitely.
Considerations:
Even though I am sure the linked market will never resolve YES, I will admit that I am not sure it will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!