If ChatGPT 5 is released before election day (Nov. 5th 2024), will Joe Biden be inaugurated as POTUS on Jan. 20th 2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ685Jan 21
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is to test both the belief that ChatGPT 5 is AGI
AND
that it will have massive disruptive effects in society.
If ChatGPT 5 is not released to the public by election day (in this case, public counts even if it is 1 user who does not work for OpenAI), this resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If ChatGPT 5 is released before election day (Nov. 5th 2024), will Donald Trump be inaugurated as POTUS on Jan. 20 2025?
49% chance
Will there be a US presidential inauguration on January 20, 2025?
98% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Joe Biden ceases to be president?
20% chance
Will Chat GPT 5 release before Blue Monday 2025?
3% chance
Will ChatGPT5 be released by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will chat gpt 5 be released before 2025
4% chance
Will Chat GPT 6 release before the end of 2026?
38% chance
If Joe Biden is still US president after the November 5 election will he resign before the inauguration January 2025?
4% chance
Will Joe Biden be the US head of state on the beginning of Jan 19, 2025?
97% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive through inauguration day, January 20th, 2025?
97% chance