Background
This market will use a random number generator to select a number between 1 and 40. Each number has an equal 2.5% probability of being selected.
Resolution Criteria
A random number between 1 and 40 will be generated using a verifiable random number generator (such as Random.org, Spin the Wheel, or Comment Picker)
The first number generated will determine which answer resolves to YES
All other numbers will resolve to NO
The exact random number generator used and the timestamp of generation will be provided when the market resolves
If technical issues prevent the generation of a random number, the market will resolve N/A
Considerations
Each number has an independent and equal chance of being selected
The outcome is determined by a single generation - no rerolls or multiple attempts will be considered
The random number generation will be documented to ensure transparency and verifiability