
This group showcases a collection of high-quality, important markets that demonstrate how prediction markets can be used on good object-level questions.
How this works
Every month, Trustworthy-ish folks (and Manifold employees) may showcase markets by adding them to this group
Markets should be on object-level important questions -- think "Metaculus-quality", "citeable by Vox", "important if true"
Each Trustworthy-ish user may showcase up to 3 markets per round
You can showcase your own markets, or markets created by others
You must include a comment on the market indicating why you showcased this market
Regular users may propose a single market to showcase as a comment in this market: https://manifold.markets/Austin/manifold-may-showcase-will-25-users
If 3+ trustworthyish folks like the market, it will also get showcased
Each showcased market gets a house subsidy of M$10k, making it worth it for whales to spend time forecasting the outcome
At the end of each month, Manifold users votes on which markets were the highest quality. The creators and showcasers of the top 5 markets each win an additional M$5k
Manifold core team reserves the right to change these rules and payouts to better fulfill the goal of highlighting great markets, or exclude markets that we feel are detracting from this group
Rounds
Rounds will last about a month; the first showcase round runs Apr 21 to May 21
Future rounds may be themed, eg "Futarchy done right", "AI progress", "Pop culture"
Latest Posts
๐ Top traders
# | Name | Profit |
---|---|---|
1 | แน27,076 | |
2 | แน21,502 | |
3 | แน8,278 | |
4 | แน6,794 | |
5 | แน4,090 | |
6 | แน4,049 | |
7 | แน4,015 | |
8 | แน3,158 | |
9 | แน3,110 | |
10 | แน2,660 | |
11 | แน2,368 | |
12 | แน2,355 | |
13 | แน1,968 | |
14 | แน1,786 | |
15 | แน1,169 | |
16 | แน1,136 | |
17 | แน1,029 | |
18 | แน914 | |
19 | แน841 | |
20 | แน827 | |
21 | แน826 | |
22 | แน785 | |
23 | แน781 | |
24 | แน764 | |
25 | แน737 | |
26 | แน698 | |
27 | แน681 | |
28 | แน644 | |
29 | แน620 | |
30 | แน613 | |
31 | แน605 | |
32 | แน602 | |
33 | แน584 | |
34 | แน584 | |
35 | แน580 | |
36 | แน573 | |
37 | แน561 | |
38 | แน539 | |
39 | แน533 | |
40 | แน478 | |
41 | แน476 | |
42 | แน445 | |
43 | แน436 | |
44 | แน433 | |
45 | แน411 | |
46 | แน395 | |
47 | แน389 | |
48 | แน387 | |
49 | แน384 |
๐ Top creators
# | Name | Number of traders |
---|---|---|
1 | 465 | |
2 | 424 | |
3 | 311 | |
4 | 267 | |
5 | 209 | |
6 | 188 | |
7 | 144 | |
8 | 87 | |
9 | 75 | |
10 | 62 | |
11 | 60 | |
12 | 58 | |
13 | 48 | |
14 | 32 | |
15 | 31 | |
16 | 28 | |
17 | 19 | |
18 | 19 | |
19 | 19 |