Will Intel or Amd announce an Arm-based desktop processor before 1 Jan 2026?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ970resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to Yes if Intel or Amd officially announces plans to produce an Arm-based processor specifically for desktop PCs before Jan 1, 2026. The announcement must come from an official company source and explicitly state the chip is intended for desktop computers.
Chips like Intel Altera contains arm processors but will not accounted because they are not intended for desktop PCs.
If no company makes such an announcement before the close date, this market resolves No.
Resolution sources:
Company press releases
Verified reporting from major tech publications
Official company statements or product roadmaps
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ48 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 | |
| 3 | Ṁ7 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Intel's photonics CPUs be available before 2027?
19% chance
xAI announces own ASIC/XPU for AI workloads by March 31, 2026?
17% chance
Will desktop CPUs using Zen 7 be on the AM5 platform?
48% chance
Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?
69% chance
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
28% chance
Will Intel be bought out before 2030? 🦾🤖💻
59% chance
Is Intel going to be acquired before 2030?
60% chance
Will I be able to buy an Apple computer that is primarily RISC-V based in 2026?
4% chance
Will Apple launch a server product based on proprietary ARM CPUs by End of 2026?
28% chance
Will Intel stock reach $100 by the end of 2026?
30% chance