Will Intel or Amd announce an Arm-based desktop processor before 1 Jan 2026?
3
100Ṁ222026
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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This market resolves to Yes if Intel or Amd officially announces plans to produce an Arm-based processor specifically for desktop PCs before Jan 1, 2026. The announcement must come from an official company source and explicitly state the chip is intended for desktop computers.
Chips like Intel Altera contains arm processors but will not accounted because they are not intended for desktop PCs.
If no company makes such an announcement before the close date, this market resolves No.
Resolution sources:
Company press releases
Verified reporting from major tech publications
Official company statements or product roadmaps
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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