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MANIFOLD
will ayan nayak jmo qual in the big 27
3
Ṁ100Ṁ61
2027
62%
chance

he is very orz and got a 10 on aime this year. he got 103.5 on amc10. ok so will he make the jmo or no

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Ayan Nayak qualifies for the United States of America Junior Mathematical Olympiad (USAJMO) in the 2026–2027 competition cycle (USAJMO 2027). It will resolve to NO if he fails to qualify, does not participate, or qualifies for the USAMO instead of the USAJMO (as USAMO qualifiers are ineligible to take the USAJMO).

Sources of verification:

  • Official qualification announcements, cutoff scores, or registered participant lists published by the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) on the MAA AMC Portal.

  • Community-curated qualifier lists and discussions on the Art of Problem Solving (AoPS) Forums.

  • Verifiable school-level or regional competition manager reports confirming his qualification index and status.

If the 2027 USAJMO is cancelled or its format is altered such that qualification is no longer defined, this market will resolve to N/A.

Background

Ayan Nayak is a competitive middle school math student from Massachusetts. In previous cycles, he has recorded a score of 103.5 on the AMC 10 and a 10 on the AIME.

The USAJMO is a highly selective proof-based olympiad for students in grade 10 or below. Qualification is determined by the USAJMO Index, traditionally calculated as: $$\text{USAJMO Index} = \text{AMC 10 Score} + 10 \times \text{AIME Score}$$ Typically, only the top 230–270 scorers nationwide are invited to take the exam. "The big 27" refers to the 2027 USAJMO, which will take place in the spring of 2027.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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