This market resolves as YES if I have not completed the main story of Divinity: Original Sin 2 by September 23, 2023. Otherwise, this market resolves as NO upon me completing the story of the game.
Several of my friends have joked "see you in a few months" when they heard I was starting to play Divinity: Original Sin 2. Will it actually take me that long? It could - I play through games slowly, and I'm going to be pretty busy in August with moving and mid-late September with grad school - but I have my doubts, since I currently have a lot of free time, and I'm already pretty far into the game after four days of playing it (20 hours in, just finished Act 1/Fort Joy.)
(I won't bet on this market.)
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Resolving this as YES slightly early, with my reasoning as follows:
Given my SSD installation situation, I'm not planning on playing many PC games tomorrow (I spent most of tonight on my work/school computer and will probably do that tomorrow as well.)
That leaves me the 21st, 22nd, and 23rd to finish an RPG I am maybe 40% of the way through, while balancing sleeping, eating, emails to professors, and resisting the urge to finally play Baldur's Gate on an SSD so I can finally escape from lag hell (and the Underdark) and resisting the urge to reinstall Starfield since I can actually play it now.
There is, by my estimation, a <0.01% chance of this resolving NO at this point.
Why I still haven't finished the game:
Shortly after this market, Baldur's Gate 3 came out, and it turns out I like it more than I like Divinity: Original Sin 2. I don't think I've actually played D:OS 2 since around August 4.
Three weeks after that, my partner and I moved across the country. From August 24 to September 1, I didn't have a desktop with consistent Internet access.
I've spent most of September preparing for grad school - lots of emailing, getting supplies, upgrading my tech, etc. and not much video games. I haven't even touched the Pokémon DLC yet...
Since it is inevitable that the date I finish the campaign of Divinity: Original Sin 2 will be two months or more since the date I started playing, this resolves YES.
@MatthewGrayc2b2 I probably will! I'm already about a third of the way through (I stopped playing because of bugs and horrible lag on my hard drive, so hopefully a few mods and transferring it to an SSD should help.)
@Darj Lightly modded - nothing that affects story progression, as far as I'm aware, and nothing that affects game balance all that much. It's probably easier than it would be otherwise, but I've still had several difficult encounters.