Unfortunately, all of the story content of Tears of the Kingdom has leaked, more than a week before I'll have a chance to play it. This market resolves as YES if I can keep myself from seeking out spoilers before I have a chance to play the game. Otherwise, it resolves as NO.
I'm using this as an incentive to keep my ADHD-addled, dopamine-fried brain away from the quick, easy dopamine loop of "ooh! new thing about Zelda! ooh! new thing about Zelda!," since I know from experience that if I give in and seek out leaks, it will seriously damage my ability to enjoy the game's story. As such, I'm putting 1,000 mana into YES, at which point I will not bet further. If I can stay away from spoilers, I get ~2,000 mana. Otherwise, I get zero.
If you think I have the willpower, bet YES; if you think I don't, bet NO. YES shares are probably gonna be really expensive since I'm buying that 1K in YES immediately, but hopefully it's free money! Hopefully. Don't actually put this in the free money group, there's a very real chance this might resolve as NO.
Note that this only counts if I intentionally seek out spoilers! If someone posts them in the comments here in an attempt to force a NO resolution (please don't do this), or if I see them by accident on the home page of Youtube or Reddit etc., then this does NOT resolve as NO automatically. I have to intentionally click on a link / spoiler tag / etc., knowing full well that it contains spoilers (so no spoiler rickroll-type-things, either). The intentional clicking of a spoiler, not the content of the spoiler itself, is what causes this market to resolve NO; regardless of how minor the spoiler may be, it's still behavior that WILL cause me to inevitably get spoiled on major aspects of the game if I do it enough.
This is gonna be a long ten days and five hours. The market closes (and resolves) when the game is available on the North American eShop; midnight EDT on the 12th, and 10 PM MDT on the 11th.
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@ForrestTaylor Oh, huh! I'll probably check those out, actually; I'm mostly just trying to avoid story-related spoilers.
@evergreenemily Weirdly enough I've been feeling less of a need to look stuff up too. Maybe you inspired me, maybe it's knowing that the whole game has leaked, and maybe it's because of the little time left.
Also, I bought an indie game called T'chia, which is basically "BOTW but French Polynesian islands, and your special power is you can transform into most objects and animals you encounter."
It's not as polished and there's no real combat, but it scratches enough of the itch for exploration and traversal. (I tried Genshin Impact as well and I just felt nothing.)
Maybe it'll help you out too, idk
@ForrestTaylor That does sound really fun! :D I've been replaying Age of Calamity to see if I can spot any foreshadowing/hints, but I haven't seen anything obvious yet. Also, it's just been a while since I played AoC and I really enjoy it.
@evergreenemily Nice! I tried the demo and I just wasn't into it- if I recall correctly the low framerate just annoyed me and I wasn't all that into the combat. Too much stuff going on on the screen at the same time for me! I like a nice slow paced story-based game where it's mostly about vibes. (The Outer Wilds, Disco Elysium, etc. At the very most I can deal with Hades.)