Unfortunately, all of the story content of Tears of the Kingdom has leaked, more than a week before I'll have a chance to play it. This market resolves as YES if I can keep myself from seeking out spoilers before I have a chance to play the game. Otherwise, it resolves as NO.

I'm using this as an incentive to keep my ADHD-addled, dopamine-fried brain away from the quick, easy dopamine loop of "ooh! new thing about Zelda! ooh! new thing about Zelda!," since I know from experience that if I give in and seek out leaks, it will seriously damage my ability to enjoy the game's story. As such, I'm putting 1,000 mana into YES, at which point I will not bet further. If I can stay away from spoilers, I get ~2,000 mana. Otherwise, I get zero.

If you think I have the willpower, bet YES; if you think I don't, bet NO. YES shares are probably gonna be really expensive since I'm buying that 1K in YES immediately, but hopefully it's free money! Hopefully. Don't actually put this in the free money group, there's a very real chance this might resolve as NO.

Note that this only counts if I intentionally seek out spoilers! If someone posts them in the comments here in an attempt to force a NO resolution (please don't do this), or if I see them by accident on the home page of Youtube or Reddit etc., then this does NOT resolve as NO automatically. I have to intentionally click on a link / spoiler tag / etc., knowing full well that it contains spoilers (so no spoiler rickroll-type-things, either). The intentional clicking of a spoiler, not the content of the spoiler itself, is what causes this market to resolve NO; regardless of how minor the spoiler may be, it's still behavior that WILL cause me to inevitably get spoiled on major aspects of the game if I do it enough.

This is gonna be a long ten days and five hours. The market closes (and resolves) when the game is available on the North American eShop; midnight EDT on the 12th, and 10 PM MDT on the 11th.