This market resolves as YES if any "will [person] tweet by [date]" market on Manifold that was created before Twitter's rebrand to "X" resolves as NO for semantic reasons despite the person in question posting a tweet on Twitter/"X" by the date in question. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO on January 1, 2025.
To count:
A market must be of the format "will [person] tweet by [date]." This includes "will [person] tweet [specific word] by [date]" and so on.
The market must have been created on or before July 23, 2023.
The market must be resolved to NO specifically because the person "didn't tweet" and instead "posted to X," "xeeted," etc.
The market creator must never have held any shares in this market, nor placed any limit orders on this market, nor ever liked this market, nor ever posted a comment in this market, nor ever liked a comnent in this market, nor ever referenced or linked to this market in a comment or market description or Discord (though I can't check the latter.) The resolution should have everything to do with semantics and nothing to do with manipulating this market in particular; ideally, the creator in question shouldn't know this market even exists.
1,000@JosephNoonan It doesn't have to be the final resolution - it just can't be re-resolved immediately, since I have to actually see that the market resolved NO. The market also needs to be intentionally resolved as NO - a creator resolving NO and immediately pinging the admins like "I clicked the wrong button, can you re-resolve YES for me?" doesn't count.