This market resolves to YES if an AI (controlling some sort of robotic body) "wipes out" while skateboarding, surfing, or snowboarding on or before December 31, 2029. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO on January 1, 2030.

More specifically, this market resolves to YES if:

• The AI falls off of a skateboard while attempting to ride it, or attempts to do a trick and fails in such a way that it crashes onto the ground

• The AI falls off of a surfboard while attempting to ride it (hopefully its body is waterproof...)

• The AI falls off of a snowboard while attempting to ride it, or attempts to do a trick and fails in such a way that it crashes onto the ground/into a tree/etc.

If the crash looks like it would make a mid-1990s Totally Rad sports announcer go "oooh, wipeout!" in a faux-pained voice, it's probably sufficient for a YES resolution.

Edit: I should also note that this market does not require the AI to be sentient/conscious/an AGI or superintelligence/etc. - it just needs to be trying to perform a task related to skateboarding, snowboarding, or surfing, and failing. The "wipe out" must have occurred after market creation (so on or after July 3, 2023.)