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MANIFOLD
Which teams will win at least one match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
74
Ṁ4.8kṀ42k
Aug 7
98.9%
Senegal
79%
Belgium
57%
DR Congo
37%
Cape Verde
33%
Saudi Arabia
25%
Iran
22%
Uzbekistan
12%
Uruguay
8%
New Zealand
7%
Panama
6%
Jordan
1%
Iraq
Resolved
YES
Canada
Resolved
YES
Mexico
Resolved
YES
United States of America
Resolved
YES
Japan
Resolved
YES
Argentina
Resolved
YES
South Korea
Resolved
YES
Australia
Resolved
YES
Brazil

Each team will play at least 3 matches and potentially up to 8 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Teams that win at least 1 match will resolve YES, and teams that do not will resolve NO.

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@Tripping If a team makes it to the knockout stages with only draws in the group stage matches, then draws in regular plus stoppage time of the first knockout stage but proceeds by winning the penalty shootout or overtime, does that count as a win and resolve this Yes for that country?

Or in other words, do only wins in regular plus stoppage time count or do overtime or penalty shootouts also count as wins for this market?

@ZicoVerona Penalty Shootout wins count as wins for this market