Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
🇬🇧ENG vs 🇬🇭GHA [World Cup '26]
145
Ṁ1kṀ71k
resolved Jun 23
100%99.2%
Draw
0.7%
🇬🇧 England
0.1%
🇬🇭 Ghana

England vs Ghana · Group L · Kickoff Tue, 23 Jun 2026 20:00:00 UTC

Resolves to the winning team or draw (90 min regulation)

This market resolves automatically after the match concludes based on official results.

Visit the FIFA World Cup 2026 Dashboard

Created and managed by @ManifoldSports

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ9,128
2Ṁ7,607
3Ṁ7,314
4Ṁ1,515
5Ṁ767
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 NO

is there some kinda match theory for ghanas probability actually staying the same or went up as time goes on without a score?

sold Ṁ8,666 NO

@Cvill less time for England to score to comeback if they did end up getting a miracle first goal

If you model the goals scored by both teams as Poisson distributions, with England scoring at a higher rate than Ghana, Ghana’s win probability goes to 0 as time remaining approaches infinity or 0, peaking somewhere in the middle. Because the match is so lopsided, that peak occurs with <90 min remaining.

bought Ṁ20 NO

Ez money

Thats not the england flag gng🥀

@Oeko unfortunately the British nations don't seem to render in this font 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Ghana is winning this match…