Who will Trump pardon in 2025? [Polymarket]
18
1kṀ2767Dec 31
31%
Changpeng Zhao
20%
Roger Ver
14%
Ghislaine Maxwell
14%
Steve Bannon
9%
Eric Adams
7%
Joe Exotic
6%
Matt Gaetz
6%
Rudy Giuliani
6%
Elizabeth Holmes
5%
Diddy
5%
Do Kwon
5%
Young Thug
5%
Daniel Penny
5%
Himself
5%
Elon Musk
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Bob Menendez
5%
George Santos
5%
Julian Assange
5%
Roger Stone
Resolves the same as the Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025
Each option will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Trump pardons Maxwell in 2025?
16% chance
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? [Polymarket]
Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029?
20% chance
Who will Trump pardon ? [Independent Megamarket]
If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?
65% chance
Will Trump pardon a member of his administration to avoid their prosecution for being held in contempt of court in 2025?
24% chance
Will Trump Pardon Snowden by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
4% chance
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin for the death of George Floyd by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
29% chance