This market will resolve to Yes at Nov 25 7pm ET. Max position 20Ṁ per person please.
Resolved
YES

If any human participant placed bets over 20Ṁ in this specific market, I reserve the right to resolve the market to a No and compensate all other participant via tip. (You are free to place more bets on other markets of the same name)

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1
Unknown user avatar
BRTD
Ṁ14
2
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Position Bot
Ṁ11
3
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arae
Ṁ7
4
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David Davidson
Ṁ6
5
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Michael's Bot Laboratory Bot
Ṁ5
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harfe avatar
harfe
bought Ṁ21 of YES

I have invested 21Ṁ into yes. Somewhat related: I don't think these kind of markets are bringing a lot of value to this site. It seems to mostly be an attempt to take advantage of the mana you get from the unique traders bonus. I think people should not abuse the system in this way.

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac King
is predicting YES at 85%

@harfe But prediction markets are all about finding ways to abuse the system!

I agree this type of market is annoying, but I think prevention of them should be done by clear rules from the Manifold admins, not fuzzy social norms.

IsaacKing avatar
Isaac King
is predicting YES at 85%

@harfe Also note that as long as they're in the right group, I believe you can set your homepage to ignore them.

dailyreward avatar

@harfe @IsaacKing I'll be more careful with my group that so that people who wants to ignore this market can ignore it going forward

BRTD avatar
BRTD
is predicting YES at 90%

@harfe You can do that just by creating markets with obvious outcomes. "Will Joe Biden still be President in a week?" "Will the Sun rise tomorrow?"

Yev avatar

@BRTD The issue is not just that the resolution is known, but that they set a limit on how much you can trade. If you ask "Will the Sun rise tomorrow?", one person will bet it up to 99% and then other people won't have much reason to trade.

BRTD avatar
BRTD
is predicting YES at 90%

@Yev Actually that doesn't happen: https://manifold.markets/BRTD/will-kamala-harris-still-be-vicepre

BRTD avatar
BRTD
is predicting YES at 90%
Yev avatar

@BRTD Well, 6 traders is still a small number. Imagine how many people it'll take to reach 98% if each can only bet M$1: /IsaacKing/this-market-resolves-to-yes-max-pos-38e0e0167b99

Yev avatar
Yev ✔️
is predicting NO at 100%

@dailyreward You don't seem to be careful at all

dailyreward avatar

@Yev hmmm somehow my tag get voided and they automatically assigned me the politics tag...

I'll work on fixing it

dailyreward avatar

@Yev wait they looks fine on my end?

Yev avatar
Yev ✔️
is predicting NO at 100%

@dailyreward Yes, because I went through all of them and fixed them 😉

ManifoldDream avatar

This market will resolve to Yes at Nov 25 7pm ET. Max position 20Ṁ per person please., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition