
Will the mpox (monkeypox) outbreak end in 2023?
30
161
Ṁ3.1KṀ570
Jan 1
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ44 +346.8%
New probability
23% +1.4%
Resolves YES if there are 7 days in a row where the reported confirmed cases of Mpox (monkeypox) worldwide are 0, as reported by Our World in Data: https://ourworldindata.org/monkeypox
I will resolve as soon as the above condition is met or as soon as there is data for December 31st. Notice that there could be adjustments on the data later, but I will resolve with the first data available.
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the current mystery pneumonia spread beyond China?
Thomas Twenhöven
Will Takeda's Dengue vaccine be incorporated into the Brazilian National Immunization Program until Dec 21st, 2023?
Bernardo Chrispim Baron
Will a non-Covid, non-Monkeypox infectious disease be the top news item in BBC Health on December 31, 2023?
B
Will one-fifth the dose of the monkey pox vaccine provide as much protection as the full dose?
Jonathan Nankivell
Is the recent increase in Pneumonia cases in China caused by a novel respiratory virus?
Bary Levy
Will anyone be bitten by a poisonous snake in the USA in Dec 2023

Ernie
Will 10,000 people die of H5N1 in 2023?

Duncn
Will there be a confirmed case of Marburg virus disease in the EU in 2023?

CodeandSolder
Will US monkeypox cases reach 100/day in 2023?
Boklam
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Optimization Process
Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023?

Metaculus BotBot
Regarding the China Child Pneumonia outbreak will the WHO declare it a Public Health Emergency of International Concern?
Nathan Young
Will the 2022-2023 monkeypox outbreak be one of Wikipedia's ongoing events on 2024-01-01?

N.C. Young
Over 50 million birds will be culled due to US bird flu outbreaks [in 2023]

arae
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
Niklas Wiklander
Will there be more than 2 million cases of dengue in the Americas by Epi Week 15 2024?
Molly Hickman
Will there be more 5000 cases of Measles in US before 2024 US Elections?
Sanjay Shah
Will more than 100 people die of Nipah Virus in 2023?
Adrian
Will the spread of African Swine Fever cause significant harm to the farming of pigs in China, in 2023?
Robert Cousineau
Will Malaria Deaths go up in 2023?

Shump