Resolves YES if the Democrat candidate (Catherine Cortez Masto) obtains at least 20,000 more votes than the Republican candidate (Adam Laxalt) at the end of the count for the Nevada midterm elections.
I will check https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-nevada-us-senate.html to resolve, but if there is a better source suggested I'll check that one.
Nov 11, 12:28pm: Will the final difference in the Nevada senate midterm election be larger than 20K (about 2%) votes? → Will the final difference in the Nevada senate midterm election be larger than 20K votes (about 2%) in favor of the Democrat?
Close date updated to 2022-11-18 11:59 pm
1,000
3.00The current difference is 493,443 - 484,436 = 9,007 and all counties have 99% of the votes according to https://www.wsj.com/election/2022/general. There are currently 1,009,478 votes counted, so if that is 99% of the votes, there could only be 10,197 more votes to be counted. Assuming the unlikely event that they all go for the Democrats (more likely less than 75% of them) that would still be <20,000 difference, so I'm resolving this market as NO. Unless there are any objections before the end of the day...
@JoshuaB 20K more votes than the other candidate at the end of the count. I highly doubt that it will go the other way around, but I'll state the title better
