Will I get into the class CS 168? (info in description)
17
284
478
resolved Feb 7
Resolved
YES

CS 168: Introduction to the Internet is a computer science class at UC Berkeley. It is in high demand - the class filled up before I had the chance to sign up, despite the fact that I am a senior and so have high priority, so I was put on the waitlist at position 93.

The class has 217 students, and is currently completely full. Here is a recent chart of my waitlist position over time - I am currently at position 2.

Jan 15: 45

Jan 16: 41 (day of first lecture)

Jan 17: 35

Jan 18: 32 (day of second lecture)

Jan 19: 28

Jan 20: 26

Jan 21: 26

Jan 22: 25

Jan 23: 22 (day of third lecture)

Jan 24: 18

Jan 25: 18 (day of fourth lecture)

Jan 26: 14

Jan 27: 12

Jan 28: 12

Jan 29: 10

Jan 30: 9 (day of fifth lecture)

Jan 31: 8

Feb 1: 7 (day of sixth lecture)

Feb 2: 6

Feb 3: 6

Feb 4: 5

Feb 5: 3

Feb 6: 2

Feb 7: Add-drop deadline, at 11:59 PM

During the first lecture, the instructor mentioned that the class would not be expanding, and said to drop the class now if you are planning to drop, so I expect that the current rate of drops is higher than what I can expect in the future.

I plan to stay on the waitlist until I either get in or reach the add/drop deadline of February 7, the point at which I will be automatically dropped from the waitlist if I am still on it.

Please feel free to request any additional information. I won't trade on this question.

I may try to get in through asking my advisor to enroll me manually or something, if I get in through that I'll N/A this question.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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I'm confused why people are giving me low ratings for this resolution. Did I cause anyone to lose mana by buying 3000 yes and then resolving, right at the end? I didn't take any limit orders, and the alternative was just that I resolved it YES while it was at 60%. I know I said I wouldn't trade on this question, and I didn't trade up until 10 seconds before resolving, which I felt was just a trade to take free mana from the automated market maker and not taking advantage of anyone. Would be happy for someone to explain.

bought Ṁ3,000 YES

Just got enrolled. Thanks to everyone who traded!

Nice, I'm happy for you! and for my filled pockets!

@Bayesian Appreciate your very consistent trading on all my updates!

Just moved up to position 2.

29 hours remaining before drop deadline

bought Ṁ30 YES

@dominic WILD how close this ends up being

2 drops today.... at 3rd now, 49 hours left

Now at position 5 with 3 days, 5 hours remaining. Not much movement recently, but maybe there will be some towards the very end of the add/drop period?

8th position now, 7.5 days left

Graph update:

@dominic that's wildly close! hard to tell.

No drops over the weekend, but 2 today, bringing me to 10th

Moved up to 12th

16th position, 12 days left

18th now, here is a graph with the add-drop deadline at the right in blue

20th this morning

Up to 24th, still two weeks before the deadline.

26th position now. Things have slowed a bit, could just be the weekend.

Update: moved to 28th position

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@dominic Can people take too many classes, check each out, and decide which to drop on the last day of add drop? That’s what they do at my uni and the waitlist gets emptied on the last day often even when it barely moved before then.

@TheBayesian They can, but add drop is pretty late here so I don’t think it happens super often (eg I would not expect 10 drops on that day)

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@dominic Thanks!