Resolved PA as well because it's >99% reported and the margins are not close. The rest, esp AZ and NV will have to wait a few more days

Just realized while resolving Trump won Texas by 15 points jfc

@dlin007 / @mods

@snazzlePop i'll hold off on PA/MI/WI until tomorrow in case anything changes. Doesn't hurt

@dlin007 Looks like MI and WI are under 50% now! We may have to wait for official results.

@binarypigeon would you be interested in filling my limit order

Third party vote will probably be lower than 2020. I would be surprised if Jill Stein breaks 1% nationwide.

current state of the market, which is curious considering he's going to break 50% in all of these states

@dlin007 Noted.

trump winning 49-48 or the like resolves as no, right?

@yaakovgrunsfeld correct. he has to win a majority of the statewide vote

And if the AP/NYTimes is later shown to be mistaken in calling states, as they've been in past presidential elections, how will that be corrected?

@JeffBerman

> AP/NYTimes is later shown to be mistaken in calling states, as they've been in past

any example(s)?

@dlin007

AP was one of the outlets that called the 2000 Florida election for Gore, later retracted.

@JeffBerman

> In very tight calls i'll wait for the official state results after recounts and court challenges

that would have been covered by this part of the description

this is extremely skewed from the manifold politics map lol