Purpose:
- Help badge holders efficiently evaluate numerous project proposals
- Use collective intelligence to identify low-quality projects through a trading system
- High probability scores flag potentially overvalued projects that warrant closer scrutiny
How It Works:
- A random subset of submitted proposals are included
- Traders assign probabilities to each proposal by buying and selling shares
- High probability = market participants collectively believe project will be in bottom 10% of funded projects
- Each probability represents likelihood of proposal ending up in bottom 10% by funding amount
- Traders earn $MANA when they correctly adjust mispriced probabilities
- This market will be resolved once final project funding allocations are decided
- Successful traders receive real FIL tokens as rewards for accurate predictions
Ultimate Goal: Help badge holders identify and investigate potentially overvalued low-quality proposals (those with high probabilities of being bottom-tier), to avoid misallocation of funds based on the collective wisdom of market participants