Will William Ruto still be President of Kenya on 1st January 2028?
1
1.6kṀ100
resolved Mar 27
Resolved
N/A

Resolves YES if William Ruto is still the de facto President of Kenya on 1st January 2028, NO in all other cases.

Ways it could resolve YES:

  • he wins re-election fairly in the 2027 election

  • he rigs himself back into office in the 2027 election, and is still president with credibility issues

  • he postpones elections in some form, thereby extending his term, or elections are inconclusive maintaining his grip on powr

  • he cancels scheduled elections and becomes dictator

Some ways it could resolve NO:

  • he dies in office or is assassinated before Jan 1st 2028

  • he loses his 2027 re-election and hands over power peacefully

  • he is couped at any point before then

  • he resigns office at any point before then etc

If the country breaks up it will resolve N/A

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