This market resolves YES if Rhamondre Stevenson scores 40 or more PPR points than Damien Harris in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to FantasyData.

The Bold Prediction from JJ Zachariason:

Rhamondre Stevenson Scores 40 More PPR Points Than Damien Harris

Why This Is Bold: Rhamondre Stevenson will sometimes go ahead of Damien Harris, but most drafters still prefer Harris.
Why This Will Happen: If there's one high-ceiling player in the New England backfield this season, it's Rhamondre Stevenson, not Damien Harris. We saw Harris find the end zone 15 times last year, and he still finished as the RB20 in PPR points per game. That's thanks to a target share of just 3.6%. Even when adjusted for games missed, Harris' target share was still south of 5%, a number exceeded by 60 running backs with 8 or more games played last year.

Last year, Brandon Bolden accounted for 9.4% of the Patriots' targets. James White only played three games, and he was almost at a 3% target share. And then there's Rhamondre Stevenson, who, as a rookie and while playing fewer games than Harris, tied Harris in total targets.

Stevenson is a bigger-bodied back who can catch passes. We saw him do that at Oklahoma, and there's already hype surrounding his pass-catching ability in camp.

There's a chance we see the versatile Ty Montgomery take on the pass-catching running back role in New England's offense -- one that's been fruitful for fantasy purposes -- but what if a large chunk of those looks go to Stevenson? What if Stevenson, who's listed at 227 pounds, sees more early-down work, too? Would that be so hard to believe when Stevenson outperformed Harris in success rate last year as a rookie?

Context:

In his August 23rd, 2022 email newsletter, fantasy football analyst JJ Zachariason outlines 15 bold predictions that he describe as "really possible":

Why share a bunch of fantasy football bold predictions if they’re not actually useful?
 
You probably know by now that I’m all about having a process in fantasy football.

That extends to bold predictions.
 
At the end of the day, bold predictions are just looking at either side of some range of outcomes. For a bold prediction to come true for a player, he’s likely either hitting his floor, or he’s hitting his ceiling. So you can still get mathematical and nerdy when putting together these wacky forecasts. You don’t need to throw random takes at the wall and hope some of them stick.

In the spirit of getting mathematically and nerdy, I've created each of his 15 bold predictions as individual markets for his fans to track throughout the year in the Fantasy Football Bold Predictions group. It's very much expected that most of these will resolve negatively, but a few should turn out true. Happy predicting!