This market resolves YES if Michael Pittman finishes as a top-5 fantasy wide receiver in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to FantasyData.

The Bold Prediction from JJ Zachariason: Michael Pittman Will Finish as a Top-5 Wide Receiver

Why This Is Bold: Michael Pittman typically gets drafted after Round 2.
Why This Will Happen: Pittman is the alpha wide receiver no one -- maybe outside of more intense fantasy circles -- talks about.

He saw a below-average 1.37 yards per route run rate as a rookie a couple of seasons ago, but that rose to 1.95 as a second-year player in 2021. That's a 78th percentile mark among 50-plus target wide receivers.

He wasn't able to hit even 130 targets last year because of the run-heavy scheme he was in, but his target share was above 25%. Since 2011, check out the second-year wide receivers with a per-game target share of 25% or higher to go along with a yards per route run rate of 1.9: Josh Gordon, AJ Brown, Sammy Watkins, Justin Jefferson, Odell Beckham, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Alshon Jeffery, AJ Green, DeAndre Hopkins, Allen Robinson, Courtland Sutton, Jarvis Landry, Kendall Wright, and our man, Michael Pittman.

That's some very good company.

With Matt Ryan now under center, there's a chance we see a little more passing from Indy this year. It could all come together and make Pittman a top-five fantasy wideout.

Context:

In his August 23rd, 2022 email newsletter, fantasy football analyst JJ Zachariason outlines 15 bold predictions that he describe as "really possible":

Why share a bunch of fantasy football bold predictions if they’re not actually useful?
 
You probably know by now that I’m all about having a process in fantasy football.

That extends to bold predictions.
 
At the end of the day, bold predictions are just looking at either side of some range of outcomes. For a bold prediction to come true for a player, he’s likely either hitting his floor, or he’s hitting his ceiling. So you can still get mathematical and nerdy when putting together these wacky forecasts. You don’t need to throw random takes at the wall and hope some of them stick.

In the spirit of getting mathematically and nerdy, I've created each of his 15 bold predictions as individual markets for his fans to track throughout the year in the Fantasy Football Bold Predictions group. It's very much expected that most of these will resolve negatively, but a few should turn out true. Happy predicting!