This market resolves YES if JuJu Smith-Schuster finishes as a top-6 WR overall in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to FantasyData.
The Bold Prediction from JJ Zachariason:
Why This Is Bold: JuJu Smith-Schuster isn't exactly an early-round selection, and Cooper Kupp is coming off one of the great wide receiver seasons of all time.
Why This Will Happen: No, I don't actually think a 1,900-yard season is in Smith-Schuster's range of outcomes, but the headline was catchy, wasn't it?
There are some interesting similarities between the two, though.
Last year, Kupp got a big quarterback upgrade and was being drafted in the running back dead zone. He'd already played four years in the NFL, averaging a slot snap rate per season of 64.9%. And he was productive, giving us multiple WR2-plus seasons.
Smith-Schuster is entering the season with a big quarterback upgrade while being drafted in the running back dead zone. He's already played five years in the NFL, averaging a slot snap rate per season of 69.4%. And he's been productive, giving us multiple WR2-plus seasons.
JuJu fell victim to the aforementioned Steelers offense that didn't allow plays to develop down the field. His average depth of target was just six yards during his last healthy season with the team. Fortunately, his peripherals look mostly fine, as his catch rate on deep balls remained pretty consistent year over year. He just wasn't seeing those types of targets.
If there's someone who fits the Cooper Kupp profile this year, it's Smith-Schuster.
Context:
In his August 23rd, 2022 email newsletter, fantasy football analyst JJ Zachariason outlines 15 bold predictions that he describe as "really possible":
Why share a bunch of fantasy football bold predictions if they’re not actually useful?
You probably know by now that I’m all about having a process in fantasy football.
That extends to bold predictions.
At the end of the day, bold predictions are just looking at either side of some range of outcomes. For a bold prediction to come true for a player, he’s likely either hitting his floor, or he’s hitting his ceiling. So you can still get mathematical and nerdy when putting together these wacky forecasts. You don’t need to throw random takes at the wall and hope some of them stick.
In the spirit of getting mathematically and nerdy, I've created each of his 15 bold predictions as individual markets for his fans to track throughout the year in the Fantasy Football Bold Predictions group. It's very much expected that most of these will resolve negatively, but a few should turn out true. Happy predicting!
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