Am I a reputable market creator?
16
20
Ṁ111
resolved Apr 15
Resolved
YES
This market is my attempt at procuring from the Manifold community a reputation score/rating for myself as a market creator. How it works: * I commit to resolving this market YES. * I’m opening this market at 50% to ensure at least some trading and to suggest that I find the answer to this question valuable enough to lose M$ myself. * If my reputation is good enough that most believe me (and believe I am not prone to making a mistake when resolving this market), this market should quickly push toward 100% as traders stake their profit on my reputation. * The final value that this market ends on upon close tells me my reputation rating/score; 100% = perfectly reputable. * To further gauge my reputation, I encourage a third party to create a separate market asking when I’ll resolve this market, perhaps within X time that would be considered reputable, as a scalar market, or as a free response market with bins of different timeframes. Apr 15, 6:46am: closes at 90%; looks like the derivative market was significant enough volume to distort this one. Resolving YES.
Get Ṁ600 play money

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sold Ṁ0 of NO
There are now two related questions: https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/experiment-on-david-gliddens-am-i-a https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/experiment-on-william-kielys-experi
bought Ṁ10 of NO
I made a weird PROB resolution question referencing yours! https://manifold.markets/WilliamKiely/experiment-on-david-gliddens-am-i-a
bought Ṁ1 of YES
I appreciate the confidence @Undox! Yes, very quick.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
This is an awesome idea, but it could be more awesome. https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/am-i-awesome
bought Ṁ1,000 of YES
Quick enough?

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