Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on final worldwide and US box office totals from Box Office Mojo. Each answer resolves YES if Zootopia 2's total exceeds Avatar: Fire and Ash's total in the specified region, and NO otherwise. Resolution uses the highest confirmed lifetime grosses for each film.

Backgrounding

Zootopia 2 was released in the United States on November 26, 2025, while Avatar: Fire and Ash was released in the United States on December 19, 2025. Zootopia 2 has grossed $1.655 billion worldwide, becoming the second-highest-grossing film of 2025, while Avatar: Fire and Ash grossed $1.231 billion worldwide, ranking as the third-highest grossing film of 2025. Zootopia 2 grossed $601 million in China alone, dethroning Avengers: Endgame as the highest-grossing Hollywood film in Chinese history. With a production budget of approximately $150 million, Zootopia 2 achieved a revenue-to-budget ratio of 10.6x, while Avatar: Fire and Ash had a production budget of $350 million and roughly $150 million in promotional costs.

Considerations

Zootopia 2's $600M+ China grosses show a distinct advantage over Avatar, with the third Cameron film lagging behind The Way of Water in the Middle Kingdom. The two films had significantly different release dates and theatrical windows, which may affect their final totals depending on how long each remains in circulation.