The 2025 UEFA Europa League final will take place between Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United. This market will resolve to Yes if the winning team recorded the higher expected goals (xG) total, and to No otherwise.

Expected goals (xG) is a performance metric that estimates how many goals a team should have scored based on the quality of their chances. Each shot is assigned a probability of scoring, determined by factors such as shot type, distance to goal, angle, and more. A team’s total xG is the sum of these probabilities. xG is therefore updated throughout the match and only finalized at full time. It reflects chance quality and does not take into consideration the actual score. You can read more about xG here: Wikipedia – Expected goals

This market will resolve based on the final xG values reported by Opta, the leading data provider in the football analytics ecosystem.