If any human participant placed bets over 20Ṁ in this specific market, I reserve the right to resolve the market to a No and compensate all other participant via tip. (You are free to place more bets on other markets of the same name)
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ11 | |
| 2 | Ṁ7 | |
| 3 | Ṁ5 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
Hi @dailyreward, after some deliberation, Manifold has decided to change our community guidelines to prohibit these types of markets (which attempt to systematically re-distribute bonuses). I kindly request that you not create any new markets. (But feel free to keep and resolve all of the markets you've previously created, since they were created before we changed our guidelines.) Sorry for the trouble and thanks in advance for your cooperation.
@SG Hi SG. are there/will there be a written guideline on what's allowed and what's prohibited?
I'd hope to continue create market in someway that doesnt violate the community guideline
@dailyreward Their current guidelines are pretty subjective, but they're here: https://help.manifold.markets/community-guidelines
@SG I created two example markets that are somewhat different than the ones I've been creating. Can you kindly let me know if you deem any of these two markets permissible under the community guildeline?
1. https://manifold.markets/dailyreward/will-russia-launch-a-nuclear-missil
2. https://manifold.markets/dailyreward/will-russia-launch-a-nuclear-missil-86b531c5e628
@dailyreward I'm not a Manifold employee, but I'd happily bet up to 90% that if you post many identical copies of those markets, the answer will still be "no".
Think about this from Manifold's perspective. They're trying to design a platform to let people make accurate predictions about the future. They added the unique trader bonus to encourage people to make engaging and popular markets, and that mana comes out of Manifold's operating budget.
Your markets aren't adding anything of value to the site. There's no reason someone would post about them on social media, so they're not bringing in new users. They're not a useful prediction about anything that matters and can help make the world better. And they don't encourage existing users to keep using the site; actually quite the opposite, they're driving users away who are seeing their feed clogged with uninteresting markets.
Ultimately, in order for Manifold to want your markets on the site, the net flow of value needs to be positive for them. When you factor in the free mana they're giving you via unique trader bonuses, the free mana they're giving traders via liquidity subsidies, and any negative user retention effects caused by people not liking your markets, those need to be more than cancelled out by positive effects like your markets bringing in new users and incentivizing existing users to spend real money buying more mana. If your markets incur greater costs than benefits for Manifold, they're not going to want to allow them.
Also looking at the markets that were created since the new rule was stated here, it's just super blatant rule breaking, e.g. https://manifold.markets/dailyreward/is-white-the-opposite-of-black-max.
Hi @dailyreward you need to mark all of these markets as not ‘appearing on the home page’ during creation or you’ll be banned. We regulate these types of markets and have said we’d do so in our guidelines. https://help.manifold.markets/community-guidelines
@ian Provided that I flag all my markets to be unlisted from homepage, would creation of similar market be allowed going forward? or it is not about whether it shows up from homepage?
@ian I created two example markets that are somewhat different than the ones I've been creating. Can you kindly let me know if you deem any of these two markets permissible under the community guideline?
1. https://manifold.markets/dailyreward/will-russia-launch-a-nuclear-missil
2. https://manifold.markets/dailyreward/will-russia-launch-a-nuclear-missil-86b531c5e628
