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MANIFOLD
Will Casualties: Unknown hit 5K+ Chinese reviews and fall below 60% positive?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ382
Dec 9
53%
chance

After watching the whole review-bombing drama around Probably Stolen (in Steam Chinese market), I couldn't help wondering: who's next?

Well, here's my bet on Casualties: Unknown.

Will it get over 5,000 Simplified Chinese Steam reviews AND drop below 60% positive within its first month?

I genuinely hope I'm wrong, but after seeing this kind of thing happen over and over again, I'm not feeling particularly optimistic.

Resolution criteria:

Resolves YES if, at any point within 30 days of the game's official Steam release, BOTH conditions are met simultaneously:

  • More than 5,000 Simplified Chinese Steam reviews (at least 5,001).

  • A positive review rate strictly below 60% among those reviews.

Otherwise, resolves NO.

Only Steam purchases count. Reviews flagged as off-topic by Steam are included. Both conditions must be verifiably met at the same time.

Source: Save 15% on Casualties: Unknown on Steam

This is just a prediction, not an invitation to review-bomb the game. Please don't try to influence the outcome.

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