Resolution criteria

This binary market resolves based on the official outcome of the UFC Lightweight Championship unification bout between Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250, scheduled for June 14, 2026.

• YES: Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner of the bout (by KO, TKO, decision, submission, or disqualification).

• NO: Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the bout (by KO, TKO, decision, submission, or disqualification).

Edge Cases & Fallbacks:

• Draw or No Contest: If the fight is officially declared a draw (including split, majority, or technical draw) or a No Contest, the market will resolve to 50% (50-50).

• Postponement or Cancellation: If the fight is postponed and does not occur by June 30, 2026, or if it is officially canceled, the market will resolve to N/A.

• Fighter Replacement: If either Topuria or Gaethje is pulled from the card and replaced by another fighter (such as official backup Arman Tsarukyan) before the fight starts, the market will resolve to N/A.

The primary source of truth for the resolution will be the official results page on UFC.com.

Background

UFC Freedom 250 is scheduled to take place on June 14, 2026, at an outdoor venue on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, D.C. The highly anticipated main event features a lightweight title unification clash between undisputed UFC Lightweight Champion Ilia Topuria and two-time interim titleholder Justin Gaethje. Topuria (17-0) enters the cage undefeated, looking to secure his first lightweight title defense after a dominant run of knockouts. Gaethje (27-5) earned his shot at undisputed gold by defeating Paddy Pimblett at UFC 324.