Will a horse who once won the Kentucky Derby be euthanized in 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ59
Jan 1
50%
chance

>Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/

Carrie Poppy: Exactly. I can’t. I can’t do it. Exactly. A horse who once won the Kentucky Derby is euthanized.

Ross Blocher: Oh, is that a thing?

Carrie Poppy: Oh, no idea. Probably?

I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)

With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.

Either way, I have liquidated my previous position in this market and will make no further trades in it.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules