Resolves YES on credible media reports published before 2026 that Julian Assange was physically present in Australia, after this market was created, for any duration of time.
If he was in Australia prior to 2026 but that fact is not published until 2026 or later, the market will still resolve NO on Jan 1st 2026.
1,000
3.00
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-26/julian-assange-saipan-court-appearance/104022050
Live updates: WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange touches down in Canberra after walking free from plea deal
Resolving YES
he's on his way to Bangkok en route to Guam for the trial then on to AU 🧡
This is basically a proxy question for the following two questions:
Will Trump be elected (it seems likely he'll pardon assange https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-29/usa-donald-trump-seriously-considering-pardoning-julian-assange/103905214) - I'm very bullish on this and put probabilities higher than 80%.
Would Assange move to Australia upon release? Given his high levels of support from australians and the PM himself, this too seems likely. I'd put more money in but this isn't a busy market so won't bother, yet.