
How will SCOTUS rule on the Colorado Supreme Court's ruling?
63
1.8kṀ16kresolved Mar 4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Fully reverse the ruling
0.2%
Affirm the ruling of the lower Court
0.6%
Affirmed in part with condition that Donald Trump must be convicted first
0.3%Other
The Colorado Supreme Court ruled that Donald Trump cannot appear on the Republican primary ballot on the basis that Trump has violated the 14th amendment's ban on insurrection.
I will resolve N/A if no ruling is made.
A clarification now that SCOTUS thinking has started being reported on:
If they reverse the ruling based on the idea that only Congress can enforce Section 3, I will consider this Fully reversing the ruling.
I recognize that there may be some grey areas in how to resolve this market. I reserve judgment on any ambiguities, and I may resolve the market as N/A if it is too ambiguous.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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