How will SCOTUS rule on the Colorado Supreme Court's ruling?
63
1.8kṀ16k
resolved Mar 4
100%99.0%
Fully reverse the ruling
0.2%
Affirm the ruling of the lower Court
0.6%
Affirmed in part with condition that Donald Trump must be convicted first
0.3%Other

The Colorado Supreme Court ruled that Donald Trump cannot appear on the Republican primary ballot on the basis that Trump has violated the 14th amendment's ban on insurrection.

I will resolve N/A if no ruling is made.

A clarification now that SCOTUS thinking has started being reported on:

  1. If they reverse the ruling based on the idea that only Congress can enforce Section 3, I will consider this Fully reversing the ruling.

I recognize that there may be some grey areas in how to resolve this market. I reserve judgment on any ambiguities, and I may resolve the market as N/A if it is too ambiguous.

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