Will there be a coup attempt in Ukraine in 2023?
14
Ṁ290Ṁ1.2kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
a "coup attempt" is any serious effort to forcibly seize part or all of the national government of Ukraine
examples:
credible evidence of a coup plot alone would not count (fails the "serious" requirement)
demonstrations calling for the government to resign would not count (fails the "forcible" requirement)
the assassination of Zelensky, even by Ukrainian actors, would not count as a coup attempt unless paired with other actions that are typical of an effort to seize state power, e.g. capturing strategic buildings in Kyiv
the forcible seizure of a sub-national government would not count (fails the "national" requirement)
the Wagner rebellion, had it happened in Ukraine, would have counted
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