Hello Traders! Thanks for betting on this market. After discussing it with moderators, and since we have no official statement, I'm resolving it to NO, even though I believe it’s due to health reasons. Thanks to everyone who bet on YES, and if you have suffered a substantial loss, please DM me, I will be more than happy to compensate you for your loss.

Hi - I took a ~400+ mana bath on this (sold no at heavy loss) bc I assumed debate performance and subsequent drop out was indicative of l health / age related decline. Not sure what it would be called if not health related.. surprised this resolved no.. what else would it be?

I agree with you! After talking to few moderators, we concluded that it's best to resolve it to No. Sorry for the losses. I will send you 500 manas.

It seems to me that the reason for Biden's dropping out was the bad polling, and his being convinced by his own party that he couldn't win. I haven't seen him mention his health in connection to dropping out.

Wow looks like he doesn’t admit that concerns for his health was the reason for dropping out but instead says he’s giving into the coup against him to pass the torch. But the whole thing was motivated by his health concerns after the debate. Makes no sense framing his decision to step down as being humble as opposed to a man of ambition because he’s only served one term.

I bet yes but i don’t mind if you resolve it as no. Dont know how others feel.

Sure will wait for few others to chime in, will resolve it NO, if there are no objections.

Should at least wait for his address later this week before resolving it. He mentioned giving one later this week. He could go more into it. If during his speech he mentions health as one of the reasons why he could not be the president for the next four years, it resolves to yes, right?

Agreed!

Frank and Valerie Biden say that 'health was a factor.

Yeah.

I don't think his speech was very illuminating.

Not at all. If everyone agrees I can resolve it to NO, even though I believe it’s due to health reasons.

https://x.com/i/trending/1815504590537990291?timeline=VGltZWxpbmU6CgCaGTHlbuBX0X4A

Not sure, how to resolve this guys, need help from the moderators. It seems people are still speculating on Biden's whereabouts and his health condition. Not sure what to do with his Doctors statement.

Mods please advice.

@strutheo @itsTomekK @chrisjbillington Can you please advice?

From the beginning wording was ambiguous, this could be contested in any situation where he resigns.

Did Biden resign due to health concerns? Or maybe partially due to health? Is aging health concern?

I think noone would be offended with N/A

im not a mod but my thought is to just wait for now, we'll see wht happens

pinging @mods (you can use this in the future to get their attention @bitSanjay )

if you want to turn it over to the mods, they'll handle resolution for you.

@itsTomekK Yes, should have thought about the wording, its too late now.

Yes I would like to hand it over to the @mods to resolve this market. Thanks for the advice.

Thanks!

I agree with Andy J’s comment that it would be most sensible to wait for a statement from Biden before resolving.

Thanks for confirming. Will wait for a statement from Biden.

woah
super unclear phrasing here
he's dropped out but he appears to have done so "for the good of country and party" not for health reason
gonna take a flyer on this being resolved as
dropped out not for health reasons -> no

https://x.com/i/trending/1813787088451731796

Odd phrasing. What if he drops out for some other reason?