This market is about whether I will become convinced that at least one X/Twitter user was banned, suspended, or had their account permanently disabled by X during 2026 because they used Birdclaw.
Resolving rules
This market resolves YES if, at any point during 2026, I am convinced that an X user was banned, suspended, or had their account permanently disabled by X because of using Birdclaw.
I will use my judgment when evaluating the evidence. Evidence may include, but is not limited to:
a statement from the affected user;
a screenshot or copy of a suspension notice;
a statement from the Birdclaw developer;
a credible public report;
other public evidence that clearly connects the ban or suspension to Birdclaw usage.
The evidence does not need to be an official statement from X, but it must be strong enough to convince me that the account was banned or suspended because of Birdclaw usage.
This market resolves NO at the beginning of 2027 if I am not convinced that any X user was banned, suspended, or had their account permanently disabled by X during 2026 because of using Birdclaw.
Clarifications
It does not matter whether the user was later unbanned. If I am convinced that the account was banned or suspended during 2026 because of Birdclaw usage, this market resolves YES.
The affected account does not need to be a famous account. Any X user counts.
The timezone used for this market is UTC.
Author betting policy
The author of this market cannot place bets on it.
Context
1,000