Will Albania formally recognize a Bektashi microstate within its borders by the end of 2025?
3
100Ṁ779
2026
32%
chance

Inspired by: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/21/world/europe/albania-tirana-muslim-state-bektashi.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnp&pvid=07659F2D-52CA-4013-B965-5948EBB4349B

This state doesn’t need to be recognized by other nations or the UN. Albania just needs to pass a law allowing for its creation, or take other equivalent legal steps. If Albania recognizes this state before the end of 2025 and then rescinds this recognition, the market will still resolve YES.

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