If I get confirmation that Kevin Roose has played my Manifest text adventure game called...
"You are a NYT Journalist. CAn you survive Manifest and get your scoop?"
... then this resolves YES.
Time limit for this market is end of September.
At the end of September, it resolves NO if there is no indication that Kevin Roose has played my game.
If I am UNSURE:
At the end of September this will resolve to my % confidence that Kevin Roose has played the game, if I don't receive direct confirmation, but have strong suspicions such as if:
-He tweets back with a laughing face emoji? Maybe like 30-50% idk
-He says "I love text adventure games!" Maybe like 70%?
-A different NYT journalist tweets "Hey Kevin is this about you?" Idk 25%?
I will obviously NOT bet in this market.
1,000Hey @KevinRoose18ac , big fan of your work. I wrote this before I was aware that there would actually be a real life NYT journalist at Manifest this year.