I mean with some regularity, not just a one off post or something.
@mods I'd like somone other than me (biased) too look at this, but seems to early to say whether trump is tweet with "some regularity" rather than a set of tweets in 1 day.
maybe @benjaminIkuta can say what he based his resolution decision off of, first?
(commenting as a bettor not a mod obv)
@benjaminIkuta We are up to 5 posts in a period of 2 weeks. This can resolve YES, thank you!
While technically correct, I think it is very clearly against the spirit of "with some regularity".
I would probably lean toward resolving YES since this case wasn't accounted for, but I also support needing it to be posts in separate weeks or something. A bit icky changing resolution criteria now, admittedly ๐ฌ
I don't disagree overall, but Benjamin didn't specify a cadence or span of time when he wrote the "5 in two weeks" comment, so some may interpret this as a pretty late stage to change or refine the criteria, particularly when it seems ready to resolve.
again, I acknowledge my bias as a Yes holder (I'm commenting as a bettor not a mod) and I'm of course not resolving on his behalf if he doesn't reply in the next couple of days.
The Tesla reaches $275 market did not resolve yes when after hour price reached over $300 in a spike in after hours trading when after hours trading was clearly included in the rules. I would suggest this is somewhat similar.
There is a need to understand what is or should have been meant.
He could have just specified a total of 5 posts, However he actually included a period as well. What is the purpose of doing that? Is it so that 5 posts in one hour is not enough? If so that suggests the period is a minimum despite being written as "5 in 2 weeks" The alternative would be for it to exclude 10 posts each at exactly 15 day intervals. That would be with unusually high regularity and clearly that should count. So it makes no sense to interpret the 2 weeks as a maximum limit so it has to be a minimum limit.
Incidentally I have no holdings just saying what I see and think.
personally, I think it's reasonable to just wait until the creator is online and responds rather than making it a big comment debate amongst ourselves.
that said, I don't think this and the TSLA market are one and the same (even if I understand where you're suggesting the similarity). I'm a little curious about why you're invested in debating the outcome without a position here ๐ but ultimately it will be good to hear from Benjamin when he sees this and weighs in.
to add: I would understand if Benjamin said, for example, that Trump should tweet on more than this single day, and I agree 'with some regularity' doesn't entirely match up with his clarification of 'at least five in two weeks' without more specificity.
but I think now (when someone has requested resolution based on what was clarified before) to start to detail "x posts in 14 days, resolving after a 2 week period from the first post to ensure regularity" or similar would be extreme, even if I agree that it would have been a very reasonable criteria to have on this market initially.
ftr: intention is important context for market resolutions, of course!
ah I see - this probably should have been added to the description but yes, I agree it's ready to resolve based on this @benjaminIkuta