
Whose odds will drop 5% in one day on Election Betting Odds?
41
1kṀ15kresolved Nov 4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Donald Trump only
0.3%
Kamala Harris only
0.4%
Both
0.3%
Neither
To qualify as a 5% drop, a candidate's odds on the EBO charts must, within a 24 hour period:
start with X probability
start sometime between August 16th 12am EST and November 3rd 12am EST
reach X - 5% or lower at one point
end on X - 3% or lower 12 hours later
A bug with EBO that lasts for more than 24 hours does not qualify as a 5% drop.
See charts at https://electionbettingodds.com/President2024.html. August 16 is the first date tracked by this market. November 4.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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