Whose odds will drop 5% in one day on Election Betting Odds?
41
1kṀ15k
resolved Nov 4
100%99.0%
Donald Trump only
0.3%
Kamala Harris only
0.4%
Both
0.3%
Neither

To qualify as a 5% drop, a candidate's odds on the EBO charts must, within a 24 hour period:

  1. start with X probability

  2. start sometime between August 16th 12am EST and November 3rd 12am EST

  3. reach X - 5% or lower at one point

  4. end on X - 3% or lower 12 hours later

A bug with EBO that lasts for more than 24 hours does not qualify as a 5% drop.

See charts at https://electionbettingodds.com/President2024.html. August 16 is the first date tracked by this market. November 4.

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