Trader beware, this will likely get subjective.

This resolves to my best guess as for what percentage of Switch 2 buyers in the USA also buy the official camera accessory. This will be based on information available online, in rough order of priority:

• Nintendo financial reports

• reporting about Nintendo on the US market

• reporting about a large US retailer

• surveys by respected research firms

• [cut line, evidence below will be ignored until 2027]

• reporting about Nintendo on the global market

• reporting about a large international retailer

• [cut line, evidence below will be ignored in all cases]

• online polls, anecdotes

I will resolve no earlier than 2026/1/1 even if high quality data is available. From that day onward, I will resolve as soon as I'm happy with the quality of evidence. If no resolution is reached by 2027/1/1, I will allow a lower bar of quality.

I will trade on this market unless it's clear that the resolution will fall between two buckets I have to make a judgement call on.