Will Vermont be the most Democratic state in the 2024 Presidential election?

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resolved Nov 19

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Market resolves as Yes if Vermont gives a larger margin to the Democratic candidate in 2024 than any other state that was already part of the US as of 2022. In 2020 Vermont was D+35.41, second best state for Democrats was Massachusetts at D+33.46.

Close date updated to 2024-11-04 11:59 pm

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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#Election margins

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Because of a universal R swing, Vermont was the only state to be above D+30 this cycle, at D+31.5. The second most Democratic state, Maryland, was D+27.64.

This will be resolved pretty soon, just need more time for the final votes in from Hawaii

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