Context:

On June 26, 2011 Argentine and CONMEBOL club football giant CA River Plate got relegated from Argentina's top tier football league to the Primera B second tier division in what is now considered the most embarrassing and shameful moment of the club's history.

For the purposes of this market "pulling a RiBer Plate" amounts to three key elements. First, getting relegated while being recently considered a "big" team (as Tottenham already has been). Second, getting relegated on the last possible game of the season (i.e. game week 38). Lastly, ending in the highest place among those relegated (i.e. 18th place).

Hence this market resolves to:

70% if Tottenham Hotspur gets relegated from the English Premier League

90% if Tottenham Hotspur gets relegated from the English Premier League AND this happens at the very last game of the season

100%. (i.e. YES) if Tottenham Hotspur gets relegated from the English Premier League AND this happens at the very last game of the season AND Tottenham is at the top of the table among the clubs relegated (i.e. ends in 18th place).

0% (i.e. NO) if Tottenham Hotspur manages to remain in the Premier League for the 2026-2027 season.