Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be interviewed on Joe Rogan's podcast by the end of 2023?

_au_

103

closes Dec 31

44%

chance

ALL

Yudkowsky Podcasts

Joe Rogan

Eliezer Yudkowsky

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Timothyis predicting YES at 57%

Why is this going up?

Jack O'Neilbought Ṁ25 of YES

He's been on Lex Fridman. This is now a dead cert.

Joelis predicting NO at 27%

@JackONeil Surely a certainty is worthy of much more than $25!

Gigacastingbought Ṁ800 of NO

harfeis predicting NO at 30%

https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-a-guest-o the same market for 80000 hours trades lower than this. Despite 80k being more serious and socially closer to EY

dmayhem93is predicting YES at 29%

@harfe my brother in christ you just opened this market today

Luke Hanksbought Ṁ10 of NO

@harfe thanks for pointing that out. I bought YES for 80,000 Hours and NO for Joe Rogan.

Eren Doğanbought Ṁ1,000 of YES

I will make sure this happens

Luke Hanksis predicting NO at 29%

@ErenDogan what makes you so confident you can make this happen?

neverix

@LukeHanks I can vouch for him

Luke Hanksis predicting NO at 30%

@ne Okay. What makes you so confident he can make this happen?

rockenotsis predicting NO at 19%

@LukeHanks I can vouch for them

Luke Hanksis predicting NO at 14%

@rockenots You're predicting NO at 19%. That looks like a contradiction to me. Regardless, I'm looking for explanations, not vouchers.

_au_

@LukeHanks I can vouch for all three of them 😎🔥

mkualquiera

@LukeHanks I can vouch for their vouch of vouching

Yonatan Cale

@mkualquiera I can't vouch for anyone but I was feeling left out

Trevor bought Ṁ1 NO at 44%

galaga sold Ṁ54 NO from 42% to 44%

Certainty of Victory bought Ṁ10 NO at 42%

marnet sold Ṁ167 NO from 38% to 42%

higherLEVELING bought Ṁ10 NO at 38%

NoUsernameSelected bought Ṁ100 NO from 41% to 38%

harfe sold Ṁ121 NO from 38% to 41%

harfe sold Ṁ127 NO from 35% to 38%

Trevor bought Ṁ30 NO at 35%

marnet bought Ṁ100 NO from 37% to 35%

harfe bought Ṁ200 NO from 42% to 37%

rockenots sold Ṁ150 NO from 38% to 42%

harfe bought Ṁ200 NO from 42% to 38%

galaga bought Ṁ35 NO at 42%

harfe created limit order for Ṁ200 NO at 44%

harfe bought Ṁ100 NO from 45% to 42%

Trevor bought Ṁ20 NO from 46% to 45%

Timothy sold Ṁ37 YES from 47% to 46%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 38% 🤖

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 YES at 43% 🤖

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 58% 🤖

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 53% 🤖

zzq bought Ṁ50 NO from 49% to 47%

zzq bought Ṁ20 NO from 50% to 49%

David Mathers bought Ṁ10 NO at 50%

Trevor bought Ṁ20 NO from 51% to 50%

The xD sold Ṁ66 NO from 48% to 51%

Jakob Brünker bought Ṁ50 NO from 50% to 48%

marnet bought Ṁ60 NO from 53% to 50%

edgrr bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 53%

Samuel Schlesinger bought Ṁ40 YES from 51% to 52%

Samuel Schlesinger bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 51%

Jake Eaton bought Ṁ10 YES at 50%

Luke Hanks bought Ṁ1 NO at 50%

Mira filled limit order Ṁ263/Ṁ263 YES at 50%

Luke Hanks filled limit order Ṁ99/Ṁ100 NO at 50% (cancelled)

David Kochanov bought Ṁ50 NO from 45% to 43%

matthew van der merwe sold Ṁ55 NO from 43% to 45%

The xD bought Ṁ74 NO from 45% to 43%

The xD sold Ṁ74 YES from 48% to 45%

The xD bought Ṁ37 YES from 47% to 48%

The xD bought Ṁ37 YES from 45% to 47%

I’m Cool bought Ṁ10 NO at 45%

NoUsernameSelected bought Ṁ10 NO at 45%

NoUsernameSelected bought Ṁ100 NO from 48% to 45%

Victor Li bought Ṁ10 NO at 48%

RBGreen bought Ṁ50 NO from 50% to 48%

zzq bought Ṁ40 NO from 52% to 50%

Adele Lopez bought Ṁ10 YES from 51% to 52%

Alex Paton sold Ṁ7 NO at 51%

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