4
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be interviewed on Joe Rogan's podcast by the end of 2023?
103
closes Dec 31
44%
chance

Sort by:
Timothy avatar
Timothyis predicting YES at 57%

Why is this going up?

JackONeil avatar
Jack O'Neilbought Ṁ25 of YES

He's been on Lex Fridman. This is now a dead cert.

akrasiac avatar
Joelis predicting NO at 27%

@JackONeil Surely a certainty is worthy of much more than $25!

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingbought Ṁ800 of NO
harfe avatar
harfeis predicting NO at 30%

https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-be-a-guest-o the same market for 80000 hours trades lower than this. Despite 80k being more serious and socially closer to EY

dmayhem93 avatar
dmayhem93is predicting YES at 29%

@harfe my brother in christ you just opened this market today

LukeHanks avatar
Luke Hanksbought Ṁ10 of NO

@harfe thanks for pointing that out. I bought YES for 80,000 Hours and NO for Joe Rogan.

ErenDogan avatar
Eren Doğanbought Ṁ1,000 of YES

I will make sure this happens

LukeHanks avatar
Luke Hanksis predicting NO at 29%

@ErenDogan what makes you so confident you can make this happen?

ne avatar
neverix

@LukeHanks I can vouch for him

LukeHanks avatar
Luke Hanksis predicting NO at 30%

@ne Okay. What makes you so confident he can make this happen?

rockenots avatar
rockenotsis predicting NO at 19%

@LukeHanks I can vouch for them

LukeHanks avatar
Luke Hanksis predicting NO at 14%

@rockenots You're predicting NO at 19%. That looks like a contradiction to me. Regardless, I'm looking for explanations, not vouchers.

au_ avatar
_au_

@LukeHanks I can vouch for all three of them 😎🔥

mkualquiera avatar
mkualquiera

@LukeHanks I can vouch for their vouch of vouching

YonatanCale avatar
Yonatan Cale

@mkualquiera I can't vouch for anyone but I was feeling left out

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