Will there be a new Yellow Guy in the first half of the 2020s?
9
88
Ṁ124Ṁ150
2025
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a new[1] culturally prevalent[2] Yellow Guy[3] before 2025[4] emerges.
[1]: It has to have emerged in the 2020s.
[2]: As decided by me. I couldn't come up with better criteria. Feel free to suggest some in the comments.
[3]: See examples in the meme. The original tweet was deleted I think, but here are some screenshots of replies: https://cheezburger.com/18914565/people-argue-about-which-character-will-be-the-yellow-guy-of-the-2020s
[4]: Not during 2023 like the meme says!
Resolves NO on 1st January 2025 if I decide that a new Yellow Guy has not emerged.
I will not bet on this market since it is subjective.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?
52% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
61% chance
Will there be a Marvel and DC Comics crossover movie released by the end of 2029?
48% chance
Will another Bill Watterson project be announced other than The Mysteries before 2025?
38% chance
Will Manifold be significantly more politically correct in a year? (starting July 2023)
37% chance
Will there be a Marvel and DC Comics crossover movie released by the end of 2030?
42% chance
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
27% chance
Will there be a full Marvel Studios live-action X-Men movie released before the end of 2029?
70% chance
Will there be a Squidward spin off show of Sponge Bob Square Pants released by EOY 2032?
47% chance
Will there be another South Park movie announced before EOY 2030?
47% chance