Will I take my usual dose of Fluoxetine on May 25?
Will I take my usual dose of Fluoxetine on May 25?
6
105Ṁ533resolved May 25
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I currently am running low, arrived to USA, just refilled my weekly pill box, and am not aware of having any further stash of antidepressants. My existing supplies would last for 10 days assuming normal dosing (i.e., with May 22 being last day for which I have a normal dose). I will try to get a refill before I run out but so far US healthcare is proving really annoying.
This market resolves YES if on May 25, I take my normal dose of Fluoxetine. If I have it, but just forget to take it (not likely), still counts as YES. Reasons for NO would be I don't manage to get a prescription filled by then.
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Prescription obtained, sent to pharmacy that would hopefully ship it. Unless something breaks about US healthcare.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.