Liron Shapira, an activist in favor of pausing AI who posts frequently on Twitter posted an OTP of a prediction on August 1:

https://x.com/i/status/2083726013750525971

He says he'll reveal it on January 1 (presumably 2027). Will it be a correct prediction?

I'll judge this to the best of my ability. N/A and partial resolution are possible. Since we don't know the prediction, it's hard to say much more about resolution criteria.

See also related market:

https://manifold.markets/ae/will-liron-shapiras-secret-predicti-OsEpstcl2g?r=YWU