Алексей Глинский's calibration
Grade: B+, Score: -1.5
Probability after bet
- The green dot at (x%, y%) means when Алексей Глинский bet YES at x%, the market resolved YES y% of the time on average.
- Perfect calibration would result in all green points being above the line, all red points below, and a score of zero.
- The score is the mean squared error for yes and no bets times -100.
- Each point is a bucket of bets weighted by bet amount with a maximum range of 10% (sell trades are excluded).
3 largest bets for each bucket
- Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?NOṀ20
- Will the United States Federal Government freeze bank accounts related to the upcoming Washington, D.C. trucker protester similar to how it happened in Canada this year?NOṀ15
- Are high powered, driven, successful men more likely to be submissive?NOṀ10